Fuel to the fire: why Victorians could be paying more for petrol
The Corio refinery provides over 50% of Victoria's fuel.
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By
Richard Whitten&
Joshua GodfreyUpdated
Australian petrol prices have risen sharply in the last few weeks, with petrol as high as $2.50.
The main driver of rising fuel prices is the US-Israel war with Iran. This conflict has quickly escalated to involve attacks on oil fields and gas plants across the Persian Gulf.
Iran now effectively controls the Strait of Hormuz, a key shipping lane that handles around 20% of the world's oil.
This supply shock, and the rising insurance costs associated with the war, have caused the price of Brent crude oil to soar to over. Oil, which had hovered around $60 a barrel before the war, has jumped to over $100 a barrel, and is still hovering around that mark.
According to data from FuelWatch, the average price for unleaded petrol per litre nationwide was $1.69 in February 2026. In March, that average was $2.24 per litre.
If you're refuelling a medium-sized SUV with a 65 litre tank at those prices, you'd pay:
That's just over $35 more, a 32% price increase in 1 month.
If you refilled a 65-litre tank twice a month, that's an extra $840 a year.
Australia has been dealing with a years-long cost of living crisis well before the US-Israel War in Iran. Inflation has been high for years, and there was an energy price spike in 2022 after the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
Households are already reporting higher stress. Almost twice as many Aussies in March rated petrol in their top 3 most stressful expenses.
And that's from surveys before the current price shock. 41% of Australians also say they have less than $1,000 in savings.
| Month-Year | Petrol |
|---|---|
| May-19 | 16% |
| Jun-19 | 17% |
| Jul-19 | 14% |
| Aug-19 | 15% |
| Sep-19 | 14% |
| Oct-19 | 16% |
| Nov-19 | 19% |
| Dec-19 | 17% |
| Jan-20 | 14% |
| Feb-20 | 15% |
| Mar-20 | 15% |
| Apr-20 | 8% |
| May-20 | 10% |
| Jun-20 | 9% |
| Jul-20 | 8% |
| Aug-20 | 8% |
| Sep-20 | 8% |
| Oct-20 | 8% |
| Nov-20 | 8% |
| Dec-20 | 7% |
| Jan-21 | 9% |
| Feb-21 | 12% |
| Mar-21 | 12% |
| Apr-21 | 13% |
| May-21 | 12% |
| Jun-21 | 14% |
| Jul-21 | 13% |
| Aug-21 | 11% |
| Sep-21 | 13% |
| Oct-21 | 12% |
| Nov-21 | 16% |
| Dec-21 | 20% |
| Jan-22 | 18% |
| Feb-22 | 22% |
| Mar-22 | 27% |
| Apr-22 | 33% |
| May-22 | 31% |
| Jun-22 | 29% |
| Jul-22 | 34% |
| Aug-22 | 32% |
| Sep-22 | 28% |
| Oct-22 | 32% |
| Nov-22 | 33% |
| Dec-22 | 27% |
| Jan-23 | 24% |
| Feb-23 | 26% |
| Mar-23 | 26% |
| Apr-23 | 22% |
| May-23 | 24% |
| Jun-23 | 23% |
| Jul-23 | 20% |
| Aug-23 | 20% |
| Sep-23 | 26% |
| Oct-23 | 29% |
| Nov-23 | 25% |
| Dec-23 | 25% |
| Jan-24 | 23% |
| Feb-24 | 22% |
| Mar-24 | 22% |
| Apr-24 | 22% |
| May-24 | 22% |
| Jun-24 | 21% |
| Jul-24 | 19% |
| Aug-24 | 20% |
| Sep-24 | 17% |
| Dec-24 | 15% |
| Jan-25 | 15% |
| Feb-25 | 16% |
| Mar-25 | 17% |
| Apr-25 | 15% |
| May-25 | 14% |
| Jun-25 | 13% |
| Jul-25 | 16% |
| Aug-25 | 13% |
| Sep-25 | 15% |
| Oct-25 | 13% |
| Nov-25 | 13% |
| Dec-25 | 12% |
| Jan-26 | 11% |
| Feb-26 | 15% |
| Mar-26 | 19% |
Australians have already embraced electric cars. Higher petrol prices may push even more Australians towards EVs.
Even in February, before the war in Iran began, electric vehicles accounted for 30% of all vehicle sales in Australia, up from just 24% in April 2025.
And those drivers are certainly laughing now. Data suggests an electric vehicle could save you almost $3,000 annually in fuel costs. And if oil prices continue to rise, you could save even more.
| Month | Electric vehicle market share |
|---|---|
| April 2025 | 24% |
| May 2025 | 25% |
| June 2025 | 24% |
| November 2025 | 31% |
| December 2025 | 33% |
| January 2026 | 31% |
| February 2026 | 30% |
Unless you happen to be president of the United States, there's not a lot you can do as an individual to affect the global oil supply.
But the savvy petrol shopper can find lower prices and lock in better deals in a few ways:
Fuel to the fire: why Victorians could be paying more for petrol
The Corio refinery provides over 50% of Victoria's fuel.
Hoarding fuel could cost you your home insurance: here’s how
Aside from supply issues causing major financial stress for drivers, several insurance experts, including major insurer NRMA, have warned Aussies of the danger of stockpiling fuel at home.
Labor’s cutting the fuel excise, but there are other ways you can save on petrol
You can't make the pain at the pump vanish completely, but there are many ways to get the best price possible.
6 ways war in the Middle East could cook our economy (and 2 ways it won’t)
The conflict in the Middle East feels so far away, and yet it's already having a massive impact on our economy in Australia.
Richard Whitten is Finder’s Senior Money Editor, with over eight years of experience in home loans, property, credit cards and personal finance. His insights appear in top media outlets like Yahoo Finance, Money Magazine, and the Herald Sun, and he frequently offers expert commentary on television and radio, helping Australians navigate mortgages and property ownership. Richard started his career in education and textbook publishing in South Korea. He holds multiple industry certifications, including a Certificate IV in Mortgage Broking (RG 206) and Tier 1 and Tier 2 certifications (RG 146), as well as a Bachelor of Education from the University of Sydney and a Graduate Certificate in Communications from Deakin University. See full bio
Joshua Godfrey is a Senior Insights Analyst at Finder, specialising in data analysis and identifying emerging trends through the Consumer Sentiment Tracker, a monthly survey on Australians' financial attitudes. He has authored Finder’s 2024 Wealth Building Report and 2025 First Home Buyer Report which have been widely quoted in top media outlets like the AFR and news.com.au. With a Bachelor of Business in Finance and Marketing and a Diploma of Creative Intelligence from UTS, Josh is passionate about uncovering patterns in consumer sentiment and exploring how they influence the future of finance. See full bio
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