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Bitcoin reclaims AUD$43.5k support but volatility means a further drop still possible

Posted: 16 May 2022 4:53 pm
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Bitcoin has registered gains of ~2% over the last 24 hours, but monthly losses stand at -25%.

  • The ongoing crypto bear market has seen AUD$2.7 trillion (US$1.9 trillion) being wiped out from the market.
  • Bitcoin's mining difficulty ratio, a potent indicator of the network's overall security, is currently at an all-time high of 31.251 trillion.
  • BTC's total market cap currently lies at just under AUD$840 billion.

Bitcoin's value continues to remain extremely volatile, staying range bound between AUD$39k and $49k over the past week. The asset is down 21% over the past 14 days and is presently trading at AUD$43,891.

After soaring to an all-time-high valuation back in November 2021, the digital asset sector has lost AUD$2.7 trillion (US$1.9 trillion) of its worth. This number is higher than the wipeout recorded during 2007's mortgage crisis, which saw AUD$1.89 trillion (US$1.3 trillion) lost from the market. The ongoing crypto volatility can potentially spill onto a number of traditional industries such as stocks, bonds and commodities.

Stablecoins or assets that have their values pegged to fiat currencies in a 1:1 ratio, such as TerraUSD (UST), Tether (USDT), have been on the receiving end of a lot of bearish pressure. UST, which was the world's third-largest stablecoin, recently lost its peg to the US dollar, falling to just US$0.05 last week.

USDT dropped down to US$0.95 on 12 May, albeit briefly. Unlike the former, USDT was able to forge a swift recovery thanks to its use of traditional reserves such as physical dollars and government bonds.

Financial Times analyst Robert Armstrong believes that the stablecoin market needs to be kept a close eye on, especially since its valuation has already exceeded US$150 billion. He added: "If the pegs all break — and they could — there will be ripples well beyond crypto."

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Bitcoin's network security at all-time high

On 13 May, Bitcoin logged a new all-time high mining difficulty of 31.251 trillion, surpassing the 30-trillion mark for the first time. Mining difficulty refers to a mechanism that protects the ecosystem from network attacks, double-spending issues and others. It stops nefarious third-party actors from reversing confirmed transactions for their personal gains.

The asset's current difficulty ratio implies that it is almost impossible for any hacker to take over more than 50% of its hash rate, a measure of the system's total computational power required for mining purposes. As per data on blockchain.com, the BTC network currently demands 220.436 million terahashes per second (TH/s). In spite of the ongoing financial turbulence and targeted attacks, BTC remains one of the most secure blockchains in the market today.

Interested in cryptocurrency? Learn more about the basics with our beginner's guide to Bitcoin, dive deeper by learning about Ethereum and see what blockchain can do with our simple guide to DeFi.


Disclosure: The author owns a range of cryptocurrencies at the time of writing.

Disclaimer: This information should not be interpreted as an endorsement of cryptocurrency or any specific provider, service or offering. It is not a recommendation to trade. Cryptocurrencies are speculative, complex and involve significant risks – they are highly volatile and sensitive to secondary activity. Performance is unpredictable and past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Consider your own circumstances, and obtain your own advice, before relying on this information. You should also verify the nature of any product or service (including its legal status and relevant regulatory requirements) and consult the relevant Regulators' websites before making any decision. Finder, or the author, may have holdings in the cryptocurrencies discussed.

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