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Bitcoin’s price rallies, but on-chain data suggests it could be short lived


According to analysts, Bitcoin's ongoing run is happening at a time when the currency is being "oversold" at historic levels.

  • The crypto fear and greed index is currently hovering in the "fear" zone.
  • American senator Ted Cruz revealed that he recently acquired a "sizable" sum of Bitcoin around the AUD$50k-$52k range (approximately).
  • BTC's market dominance currently stands at an impressive 40%.

Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency by total market capitalisation, has started to surge once again, with the digital currency rising from a relative low of AUD$51,400 to around AUD$59,300 over the last 72 hours. As a result, BTC is up 12% since the start of the month, currently trading at a price point of AUD$60,000.

Prominent analysts believe that if Bitcoin is to sustain its ongoing price action, it needs to maintain support above the AUD$60k (US$39.6k) resistance. In fact, one pundit compared the currency's ongoing price action with its performance during Q4 2020, during which BTC forged a remarkable breakout (from around the US$12,000 range) to embark on a journey that saw it hit 3 all-time highs.

Blockchain analyst Willy Woo pointed out that Bitcoin's price is currently at "historic levels of oversold to on-chain demand/supply". Not only that, even futures traders have slowed their sell downs, suggesting that the ongoing surge may not be sustainable in the long run.

As per the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a tool that is widely used to gauge industry sentiment, the market is still showcasing signs of "fear", with the index currently hovering around a score of 33/100. The metric lay at just 25 (i.e. "extreme fear") all through January and December 2021, so a spike of 8 points shows that investors are once again warming up to the market.

How to buy Bitcoin

Senator Ted Cruz "buys the dip"

Texan senator Rafael "Ted" Cruz, who is well known for his pro-crypto and blockchain stance, revealed via a filing earlier this month that he had acquired Bitcoin worth US$15k-$50k via a firm called River Brokerage. At the time of his purchase, the digital currency was trading between US$36k and US$37k.

Cruz is not the only government official to have made sizable crypto acquisitions recently, with fellow Senator Cynthia Lummis of Wyoming, revealing she owns around 5 BTC late last year. Other notable individuals invested in the market include Democrats Jake Auchincloss of Massachusetts and Marie Newman of Illinois as well as Republicans Jeff Van Drew of New Jersey and Barry Moore of Alabama.

Solo Bitcoin mining seems to be the flavour of the season

Previously thought to be a near-impossible feat, instances of solo miners solving Bitcoin blocks have been on the rise, with another miner recently accruing a reward worth US$240,000 (approximately) or 6.25 BTC on Tuesday. According to analysts, the chances of successfully completing such a task was less than 20%.

Interested in cryptocurrency? Learn more about the basics with our beginner's guide to Bitcoin, dive deeper by learning about Ethereum and see what blockchain can do with our simple guide to DeFi.

Disclosure: The author owns a range of cryptocurrencies at the time of writing

Disclaimer: This information should not be interpreted as an endorsement of cryptocurrency or any specific provider, service or offering. It is not a recommendation to trade. Cryptocurrencies are speculative, complex and involve significant risks – they are highly volatile and sensitive to secondary activity. Performance is unpredictable and past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Consider your own circumstances, and obtain your own advice, before relying on this information. You should also verify the nature of any product or service (including its legal status and relevant regulatory requirements) and consult the relevant Regulators' websites before making any decision. Finder, or the author, may have holdings in the cryptocurrencies discussed.

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