62% of games from E3 2015 press conferences still unreleased

Chris Stead 9 June 2016

horizon-zero-dawn

As all eyes in the gaming world turn to E3 2016 in Los Angeles next week, we’ve examined the likelihood that the announced games will be out before E3 2017.

What’s life without a little excitement? The thirst in the gaming community for the next big thing is near-insatiable, and game publishers, developers and console makers love to constantly feed that desire. At the annual Electronic Entertainment Expo (or E3 for short) held every year in Los Angeles, gamers around the world are tipped-off on the big gaming experiences they will be able to enjoy over the next year. Or the next two years. Or possibly sometime in the future. Or maybe not at all…

Make no mistakes, these big E3 conferences are all about building hype. They’re about making investors turn their heads. They’re about sussing out consumer interest. They’re about making a particular console or brand look better than its rival. They’re about keeping an IP in the news. They’re about proof of concept. But they’re not necessarily about showing off a game you will actually get to play in the foreseeable future.

Things change; markets shift. Developers go down, new genres go up. Some games disappear completely (Prey 2, Fable Legends), some get delayed indefinitely (The Last Guardian, Deep Down), while others aren’t even intended to be a game at all (The Dark Sorcerer, Samaritan). We just assembled a list of games expected at this year’s E3 and already we have over 200 titles. So let’s take a look at last year’s conferences to get idea of what percentage of the announced games at the upcoming E3 2016 event will actually end up being released in the following 12 months.

Key Findings

There are six main companies that host E3 press conferences. Three are publishers; Bethesda, EA and Ubisoft. Three are console manufacturers; Nintendo, Sony and Microsoft. In this list we have removed multi-format third-party games showcased in last year’s event, and kept it to only first-part games and third-party games that are console exclusives.

E3 2015 Press ConferenceTitles Previously AnnouncedNewly AnnouncedTotal Games% of Total Games ReleasedTotal % New Games Released% of Released Games Out 2015% of Released Games Out H2 2016
Ubisoft651173407525
Bethesda43757337525
Electronic Arts931292667327
Nintendo861493836931
Sony10313230892
Microsoft103133101000
Overall47237062376733

So when we look at the data, it shows:

  • Only 38% of the games spoken about during the E3 2015 press conferences have actually been released.
  • Of that 38% of games released, 33% weren’t released until 2016.
  • Sony is the worst performer, with only one game released from its E3 2015 press conference in that calendar year – a small indie from Devolver Digital called Ronin.
  • Sony also has the worst record for releasing games announced at its conference in the 12-months leading to the next E3, at only 23%
  • EA and Nintendo are the most likely to release a game they showcase before the next E3, with 92% and 93% of their titles available respectively.
  • Nintendo also released 83% of those games before Christmas 2015, which is the quickest turnaround by far.
  • Sony and Microsoft did not release a single one of their newly announced titles from the last E3 in the 12-months since the event.
  • Year-on-year, we are seeing a rise in games not being released following an E3 showcase. Our analysis shows 50% of Sony’s, and 60% of Microsoft’s E3 2014 press conferences did not see a release prior to E3 2015. These have increased to 77% and 63% respectively for this 12-month period.

Here is the full breakdown of the all the data

GamePress ConferenceAnnouncement StatusOut
The Crew: Wild RunUbisoftPreviously
2015
Trials Fusion: Awesome Level MaxUbisoftPreviously
2015
The DivisionUbisoftPreviously
2016
Just Dance

2016
UbisoftPreviously
2015
Rainbow Six SiegeUbisoftPreviously
2015
Assassin's Creed SyndicateUbisoftPreviously
2015
South Park: The Fractured But WholeUbisoftNew
Unreleased
For HonorUbisoftNew
Unreleased
Anno 2250UbisoftNew
2015
Trackmania TurboUbisoftNew
2016
Ghost Recon WildlandsUbisoftNew
Unreleased
DoomBethesdaPreviously
2016
BattlecryBethesdaPreviously
Unreleased
Dishonored: Definitive EditionBethesdaPreviously
2015
Fallout 4BethesdaPreviously
2015
Dishonored 2BethesdaNew
Unreleased
The Elder Scrolls: LegendsBethesdaNew
Unreleased
Fallout ShelterBethesdaNew
2015
Need for SpeedEAPreviously
2015
Star Wars: The Old Republic - Knights of the Fallen EmpireEAPreviously
2015
Plants vs. Zombies: Garden Warfare 2EAPreviously
2016
NHL 16EAPreviously
2015
NBA Live 16EAPreviously
2015
FIFA 16EAPreviously
2015
Mirror's Edge CatalystEAPreviously
2016
NFL 16EAPreviously
2015
Star Wars BattlefrontEAPreviously
2015
Mass Effect AndromedaEANew
Unreleased
UnravelEANew
2016
Star Wars: Galaxy of HeroesEANew
2015
Star Fox ZeroNintendoPreviously
2016
Hyrule Warriors LegendsNintendoPreviously
2016
Fire Emblem FatesNintendoPreviously
2016
Tokyo Mirage Sessions ♯FE (Shin Megami Tensei x Fire Emblem)NintendoPreviously
2016
Xenoblade Chronicles XNintendoPreviously
2015
Animal Crossing: Happy Home DesignerNintendoPreviously
2015
Yoshi's Wooly WorldNintendoPreviously
2015
Super Mario MakerNintendoPreviously
2015
The Legend of Zelda: Tri Force HeroesNintendoNew
2015
Metroid Prime Federation ForceNintendoNew
Unreleased
Animal Crossing: Amiibo FestivalNintendoNew
2015
Yo-Kai WatchNintendoNew
2015
Maio & Luigi: Paper JamNintendoNew
2015
Mario Tennis: Ultra SmashNintendoNew
2015
The Last GuardianSonyPreviously
Unreleased
Street Fighter VSonyPreviously
2016
No Man's SkySonyPreviously
Unreleased
DreamsSonyPreviously
Unreleased
Uncharted 4: A Thief's EndSonyPreviously
2016
Horizon: Zero DawnSonyPreviously
Unreleased
RoninSonyPreviously
2015
Crossing SoulsSonyPreviously
Unreleased
Mother Russia BleedsSonyPreviously
Unreleased
EitrSonyPreviously
Unreleased
World of Final FantasySonyNew
Unreleased
Final Fantasy VIIISonyNew
Unreleased
Shenmue 3SonyNew
Unreleased
Halo 5: GuardiansMicrosoftPreviously
2015
Forza Motorsport 6MicrosoftPreviously
2015
GiganticMicrosoftPreviously
Unreleased
TacomaMicrosoftPreviously
Unreleased
IonMicrosoftPreviously
Unreleased
AshenMicrosoftPreviously
Unreleased
CupheadMicrosoftPreviously
Unreleased
Rise of the Tomb RaiderMicrosoftPreviously
2015
Fable LegendsMicrosoftPreviouslyCancelled
Gears of War: Ultimate EditionMicrosoftPreviously
2015
Re:CoreMicrosoftNews
Unreleased
Sea of ThievesMicrosoftNews
Unreleased
Gears of War 4MicrosoftNews
Unreleased

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One Response to 62% of games from E3 2015 press conferences still unreleased

  1. Default Gravatar
    Joakim | June 10, 2016

    Why is Final Fantasy VIII in the last list?

    Did i miss something since E3 2015?

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