62% of games from E3 2015 press conferences still unreleased

Chris Stead 9 June 2016 NEWS

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As all eyes in the gaming world turn to E3 2016 in Los Angeles next week, we’ve examined the likelihood that the announced games will be out before E3 2017.

What’s life without a little excitement? The thirst in the gaming community for the next big thing is near-insatiable, and game publishers, developers and console makers love to constantly feed that desire. At the annual Electronic Entertainment Expo (or E3 for short) held every year in Los Angeles, gamers around the world are tipped-off on the big gaming experiences they will be able to enjoy over the next year. Or the next two years. Or possibly sometime in the future. Or maybe not at all…

Make no mistakes, these big E3 conferences are all about building hype. They’re about making investors turn their heads. They’re about sussing out consumer interest. They’re about making a particular console or brand look better than its rival. They’re about keeping an IP in the news. They’re about proof of concept. But they’re not necessarily about showing off a game you will actually get to play in the foreseeable future.

Things change; markets shift. Developers go down, new genres go up. Some games disappear completely (Prey 2, Fable Legends), some get delayed indefinitely (The Last Guardian, Deep Down), while others aren’t even intended to be a game at all (The Dark Sorcerer, Samaritan). We just assembled a list of games expected at this year’s E3 and already we have over 200 titles. So let’s take a look at last year’s conferences to get idea of what percentage of the announced games at the upcoming E3 2016 event will actually end up being released in the following 12 months.

Key Findings

There are six main companies that host E3 press conferences. Three are publishers; Bethesda, EA and Ubisoft. Three are console manufacturers; Nintendo, Sony and Microsoft. In this list we have removed multi-format third-party games showcased in last year’s event, and kept it to only first-part games and third-party games that are console exclusives.

E3 2015 Press Conference Titles Previously Announced Newly Announced Total Games % of Total Games Released Total % New Games Released % of Released Games Out 2015 % of Released Games Out H2 2016
Ubisoft 6 5 11 73 40 75 25
Bethesda 4 3 7 57 33 75 25
Electronic Arts 9 3 12 92 66 73 27
Nintendo 8 6 14 93 83 69 31
Sony 10 3 13 23 0 8 92
Microsoft 10 3 13 31 0 100 0
Overall 47 23 70 62 37 67 33

So when we look at the data, it shows:

  • Only 38% of the games spoken about during the E3 2015 press conferences have actually been released.
  • Of that 38% of games released, 33% weren’t released until 2016.
  • Sony is the worst performer, with only one game released from its E3 2015 press conference in that calendar year – a small indie from Devolver Digital called Ronin.
  • Sony also has the worst record for releasing games announced at its conference in the 12-months leading to the next E3, at only 23%
  • EA and Nintendo are the most likely to release a game they showcase before the next E3, with 92% and 93% of their titles available respectively.
  • Nintendo also released 83% of those games before Christmas 2015, which is the quickest turnaround by far.
  • Sony and Microsoft did not release a single one of their newly announced titles from the last E3 in the 12-months since the event.
  • Year-on-year, we are seeing a rise in games not being released following an E3 showcase. Our analysis shows 50% of Sony’s, and 60% of Microsoft’s E3 2014 press conferences did not see a release prior to E3 2015. These have increased to 77% and 63% respectively for this 12-month period.

Here is the full breakdown of the all the data

Game Press Conference Announcement Status Out
The Crew: Wild Run Ubisoft Previously
2015
Trials Fusion: Awesome Level Max Ubisoft Previously
2015
The Division Ubisoft Previously
2016
Just Dance
2016
Ubisoft Previously
2015
Rainbow Six Siege Ubisoft Previously
2015
Assassin's Creed Syndicate Ubisoft Previously
2015
South Park: The Fractured But Whole Ubisoft New
Unreleased
For Honor Ubisoft New
Unreleased
Anno 2250 Ubisoft New
2015
Trackmania Turbo Ubisoft New
2016
Ghost Recon Wildlands Ubisoft New
Unreleased
Doom Bethesda Previously
2016
Battlecry Bethesda Previously
Unreleased
Dishonored: Definitive Edition Bethesda Previously
2015
Fallout 4 Bethesda Previously
2015
Dishonored 2 Bethesda New
Unreleased
The Elder Scrolls: Legends Bethesda New
Unreleased
Fallout Shelter Bethesda New
2015
Need for Speed EA Previously
2015
Star Wars: The Old Republic - Knights of the Fallen Empire EA Previously
2015
Plants vs. Zombies: Garden Warfare 2 EA Previously
2016
NHL 16 EA Previously
2015
NBA Live 16 EA Previously
2015
FIFA 16 EA Previously
2015
Mirror's Edge Catalyst EA Previously
2016
NFL 16 EA Previously
2015
Star Wars Battlefront EA Previously
2015
Mass Effect Andromeda EA New
Unreleased
Unravel EA New
2016
Star Wars: Galaxy of Heroes EA New
2015
Star Fox Zero Nintendo Previously
2016
Hyrule Warriors Legends Nintendo Previously
2016
Fire Emblem Fates Nintendo Previously
2016
Tokyo Mirage Sessions ♯FE (Shin Megami Tensei x Fire Emblem) Nintendo Previously
2016
Xenoblade Chronicles X Nintendo Previously
2015
Animal Crossing: Happy Home Designer Nintendo Previously
2015
Yoshi's Wooly World Nintendo Previously
2015
Super Mario Maker Nintendo Previously
2015
The Legend of Zelda: Tri Force Heroes Nintendo New
2015
Metroid Prime Federation Force Nintendo New
Unreleased
Animal Crossing: Amiibo Festival Nintendo New
2015
Yo-Kai Watch Nintendo New
2015
Maio & Luigi: Paper Jam Nintendo New
2015
Mario Tennis: Ultra Smash Nintendo New
2015
The Last Guardian Sony Previously
Unreleased
Street Fighter V Sony Previously
2016
No Man's Sky Sony Previously
Unreleased
Dreams Sony Previously
Unreleased
Uncharted 4: A Thief's End Sony Previously
2016
Horizon: Zero Dawn Sony Previously
Unreleased
Ronin Sony Previously
2015
Crossing Souls Sony Previously
Unreleased
Mother Russia Bleeds Sony Previously
Unreleased
Eitr Sony Previously
Unreleased
World of Final Fantasy Sony New
Unreleased
Final Fantasy VIII Sony New
Unreleased
Shenmue 3 Sony New
Unreleased
Halo 5: Guardians Microsoft Previously
2015
Forza Motorsport 6 Microsoft Previously
2015
Gigantic Microsoft Previously
Unreleased
Tacoma Microsoft Previously
Unreleased
Ion Microsoft Previously
Unreleased
Ashen Microsoft Previously
Unreleased
Cuphead Microsoft Previously
Unreleased
Rise of the Tomb Raider Microsoft Previously
2015
Fable Legends Microsoft Previously Cancelled
Gears of War: Ultimate Edition Microsoft Previously
2015
Re:Core Microsoft News
Unreleased
Sea of Thieves Microsoft News
Unreleased
Gears of War 4 Microsoft News
Unreleased

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One Response

  1. Default Gravatar
    JoakimJune 10, 2016

    Why is Final Fantasy VIII in the last list?

    Did i miss something since E3 2015?

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